Live AI release markets
Release radar
A self-updating two-workweek view of model-release contracts discovered from Polymarket's complete AI Releases tag. The window runs from the active workweek through the following Friday and rolls forward every Sunday. Live odds refresh every minute Sunday and weekdays. Candidates are not preselected, and markets outside the two-week window do not fill empty slots.
This view includes qualified live signals from the active workweek through the following Friday. The two-week window rolls forward on Sunday, and live market odds refresh every minute Sunday and weekdays.
How to read the radar
A percentage is the midpoint of the market's current Yes bid and ask for the linked “released by” question, unless it is explicitly labelled as an indicative one-sided price. A market date estimate is an explicitly labelled interpolation of several compatible cutoff markets—not a promised date, a ModelCap prediction, or a recommendation to trade. The page omits undated rumors, stale quotes, and unrelated AI markets.